BRADLEY: The Moral Imperative against Divestment

Institute for Energy Research Founder and CEO Robert Bradley published the following op-ed last month in the Findlay Courier on the University of Dayton’s decision to divest from fossil fuels:

Citing “the negative consequences of climate change,” the board of Trustees of the University of Dayton (UD) recently voted to divest its oil, natural gas, and coal stocks. By ridding its $670 million investment pool of fossil fuels, UD hopes to protect “the world’s most vulnerable people” and continue its commitment to “human rights.”

Such investment politicization might please some or many associated with the private Catholic school, but it fails on the merits. The human condition has been vastly improved by fossil fuels, and more than one billion individuals today desperately need electrification at a scale and at a cost that only fossil fuels can provide.

In an email message to alumni, UD President Daniel Curran’s claimed “moral responsibility” for the divestment. But consumers (short of government coercion) chose fossil fuels because they are more affordable, reliable, and convenient compared to nuclear power, wind power, and (on-grid) solar power.

Oil, gas, and coal deserve respect, even profound gratitude. The market share of renewable energy—wood, dung, falling water, and later whale oil—was 100 percent for most of mankind’s existence. Such energy poverty changed when the chemical properties of carbon-based energy fueled the technical and engineering advances of modern life. This dense-for-dilute energy equation has not changed.

Fossil fuels are a feedstock for medicines that have saved countless lives and led to the development of fertilizers that have greatly increased crop yields to feed the hungry. They also have made heating and cooling, transportation, refrigeration, cooking, and myriad other staples of our lives affordable and dependable.

But this reality is being overlooked at those colleges, universities, non-profit organizations, and local governments where pressure groups have made decision-makers feel guilty about owning fossil fuel stocks. This leads to the assumption that divestment is good (it is not) and might make a difference (it will not).

Consider the facts. U.S.-side carbon dioxide reductions are increasingly being swamped by non-U.S. CO2 emissions, led by coal plants in India and China serving non-electrified towns and villages. And the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency credits natural gas—a fossil fuel—with reducing U.S. greenhouse-gas emissions. An April EPA study shows that U.S. carbon emissions declined 3.8 percent between 2011 and 2012 thanks to natural gas replacing coal to generate electricity.

Fossil-fuel stocks also have provided a good if not superior rate of return in UD’s and other university’s investment portfolios. Such investments have been judged as among the best investments for anyone wanting a solid, risk-adjusted return. One analysis found that a 2.1 share in oil and natural gas companies in 2010–2011 by colleges and universities generated 5.7 percent of all endowment gains.

Retirees, including school teachers and firefighters, have experienced similar results. Of the top five state pension funds operating in 17 states, Sonecon found that oil and gas company shares have outperformed all other stock investments by a seven-to-one ratio.

Many college and university administrators are aware of these financial benefits. Tufts’ President Tony Monaco decided to “refrain from divestment…primarily because of the significant anticipated negative impact on Tufts’ endowment.” Similarly, Harvard University President Drew Faust rejected divestment because the endowment is a “resource,” she wrote, “not an instrument to impel social or political change.”

When asked at a town hall meeting whether he would divest, University of Colorado President Bruce Benson said simply, “I’m not going to do that.” His reasoning is explained in a reprinted editorial in Boulder’s Daily Camera which calls divestment a “feel-good policy that would accomplish little,” because “modern society utterly depends on” fossil fuels.

“One of the great mistakes is to judge policies and programs by their intentions rather than their results,” economist Milton Friedman was fond of stating. In fact, as energy philosopher Alex Epstein put it, fossil fuels have made a unsafe planet safe, not a safe planet unsafe.

UD officials should not only rate oil, gas, and coal investments on their business merits. They should welcome the wider benefits of modern energy. Such would be in keeping with the Association of Catholic Colleges and Universities’ stated mission “to advance the common good.”

—–

Robert L. Bradley Jr., is CEO of the Institute for Energy Research, and the author of seven books on energy history and public policy. He blogs at www.masterresource.org.

ICYMI: Big Wind Doesn’t Need Welfare

“Congress has a decision to make: Will they stand with American families or with Big Wind’s high-powered lobbyists?” -AEA President Thomas Pyle
WASHINGTON – The American Energy Alliance has long argued that the wind industry should no longer receive the taxpayer-funded wind Production Tax Credit (PTC).  In a recent interview with the Casper Star-Tribune, Power Company of Wyoming CEO Bill Miller stated that the 3,000-megawatt Chokecherry and Sierra Madre wind facility in Wyoming does not require the wind PTC:
“Because of the size and the quality of the resource we have for the project, this project can be done without the production tax credit.
“Quite frankly, though, it would be very beneficial to the project and the market if it were available, but it is not necessary for it to be viable. There are probably not a lot of projects today that could say it doesn’t matter. It does matter, but it is not absolutely required.”
Click here to read the full story in the Casper Star-Tribune.

“This reinforces what we have known all along—the wind industry is no longer an infant and should not be treated like one,” said AEA President Thomas Pyle.

“For over two decades, Americans have been pouring their tax dollars into propping up an industry that has been around for over a century. Extending this handout will cost American families billions of dollars. Congress has a decision to make: Will they stand with American families or with Big Wind’s high-powered lobbyists?” He added.

Markets, Not Govt., Will Improve Energy Security

Senator Edward J. Markey provided the Institute for Energy Research (IER) with questions for the record after the hearing he held on “U.S. Security Implications of International Energy and Climate Policies and Issues” on July 22, 2014. Below are IER’s responses to those questions:

I have responded to each of the questions from Senator Markey below. I would like to make it clear at the outset that I am in favor of all energy technologies. However, I believe that the energy marketplace should determine the market penetration of each technology, not government policies that distort the economics of the technologies and end up costing the American public more than necessary to pay for the power that they need.

Further, I would note that some of the policies that Senator Markey seems to advocate in his questions below would reduce U.S. energy production, increase oil imports and our trade deficit, and have the effect of reducing U.S. energy security. Senator Markey should understand the implications of ending the tax deductions mentioned below, which is essentially a tax increase on the oil and gas industry resulting in a reduction in domestic energy production, which would result in an increase of oil from overseas suppliers. That said, in regard to tax policy, I believe that all industries should be treated the same, irrespective of the product that the industry produces.

There are those who complain about the earnings of the oil and gas companies without understanding the nature of the business, which is the most capital-intensive in the world. The oil and natural gas industry must make large investments in new technology, new production, and environmental and product quality improvements to meet future U.S. energy needs. These investments are not only in the oil and gas sector but in alternate forms of energy (e.g. biofuels). For example, an Ernst & Young study shows the five major oil companies had $765 billion of new investment between 1992 and 2006, compared to net income of $662 billion during the same period. The 57 largest U.S. oil and natural gas companieshad new investments of $1.25 trillion over the same period, compared to net income of $900 billion and cash flows of $1.77 trillion. In another Ernst and Young report, the 50 largest oil and gas companies spent over $106 billion in exploration and development costs in 2011, an increase of 38 percent over those capital investments in 2010. Without these investments, the U.S. oil and gas industry would not have been able to make the strides in increased oil and gas production that they have made and continue to make in this country.[i] Earnings allow companies to reinvest in facilities, infrastructure and new technologies, and when those investments are in the United States, it means many more jobs, directly and indirectly. It also means more revenues for federal, state and local governments.

Question: Ukraine’s reliance on Russian natural gas to meet half of its domestic needs has left it vulnerable to predatory Russian practices in terms of energy supply manipulation. Yet Ukraine has vast untapped domestic natural gas supplies and it is also the second least energy efficient country in the world. I have introduced legislation—S. 2433—that aims to double U.S. government-wide energy assistance to Ukraine to help them increase efficiency, develop their own resources, and get off Russian gas. Do you support this legislation? Please provide any thoughts or technical feedback about this legislation.

Response: For years, the United States experienced declining natural gas production and was constructing terminals for liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports to ensure that the United States had an adequate supply of natural gas in the future. The reason the United States now produces the most natural gas in the world and no longer needs to rely on LNG imports is not because of government programs, but because of technological improvements in the market place, private property rights, and prudent regulations by state regulators. Policymakers should promote these proven avenues that have led to natural gas energy independence and growing market power for the United States. If Senator Markey believes that Ukraine is vulnerable to hostile governments because it has not fully tapped its domestic gas supplies, Senator Markey should agree that the United States government should not commit a similar mistake by hampering the development of American oil and gas supplies, as the Obama Administration is currently doing.

If it is the case that Ukrainian government is hampering the development of its own domestic gas resources, then Ukrainian people would be served by eliminating such obstacles. However, the U.S. government does not need to assist Ukrainian government in implementing a policy that makes Ukrainians wealthier and more strategically secure. Furthermore, S. 2433 contains provisions for the U.S. government to provide “loan, lease, and bond guarantees” to financial institutions to facilitate the goals of the proposed legislation.[ii] Such guarantees place U.S. taxpayers on the hook in the event of a default. There is no economic rationale for U.S. taxpayers to effectively subsidize Ukrainians to do what it is in their own best interest.

Question: You made your critical views on the Cape Wind offshore wind project, and government support for it, very clear during the hearing. What are your views on the $8.3 billion loan guarantee, most of which has been finalized, to construct nuclear reactors?

Response: The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates the levelized cost of new generating technologies as part of its Annual Energy Outlook. The average cost of offshore wind in the agency’s 2014 outlook is 20.4 cents per kilowatt hour while the levelized cost for advanced nuclear is 9.6 cents per kilowatt hour, or less than half the cost of offshore wind.[iii] Given that EIA also expects advanced nuclear to have a 90 percent capacity factor while offshore wind has only a 37 percent capacity factor on average, the amount of generation from nuclear power compared to wind power would be 2.4 times more for the same amount of generating capacity. Further, wind is an intermittent technology and cannot be relied on continuously to supply power when Americans need it most. It generates power only when the wind blows which is more prevalent at night when we need it the least. Because Cape Wind will drive up the cost of energy for Americans based on its contract specifications, I do not support it.

Compared to offshore wind, which is an intermittent, inefficient and expensive technology, nuclear power is reliable, efficient and more affordable as the numbers from EIA above demonstrate.

That said, I believe it is a bad idea for taxpayers to support either technology (or any technology for that matter).  The federal government has demonstrated time and time again with companies like Solyndra that it is ill-suited to pick winners in the marketplace.  The reason that the government supports specific technologies is the belief that consumers will not willingly pay for those technologies.  When elected officials impose their choice of technologies on consumers and taxpayers, other technologies that could have made it in the marketplace on their own are locked out–and the consumers who would have preferred those technologies–suffer.

Question: Thanks to an oil company court challenge to a 1995 law, oil companies are able to drill on many leases in the Gulf of Mexico without paying any royalties to the American taxpayers. Currently, oil companies are paying zero royalties to taxpayers for one quarter of all offshore oil production in the United States. Incentivizing companies to renegotiate these leases in order to pay a fair return to the public could save taxpayers $15.5 billion over 10 years according to the Department of the Interior. The Government Accountability Office has estimated that taxpayers could lose up to $53 billion over the life of these faulty leases. Would you support legislation to correct this problem, which the Congressional Research Service has found is within Congress’s legal authority and would not abrogate contracts between oil companies and the federal government?

Response: I am grateful for the opportunity to set the record straight on the deepwater royalty relief program. Oil is being produced in the deep water federal Gulf of Mexico, where production just increased during fiscal year 2013 for the first time since the moratorium on drilling was imposed by the Obama Administration in 2010, because of the royalty relief program. The program originally provided royalty relief for operators to develop fields in water depths greater than 200 meters (656 feet). The suspension of Federal royalty payments for new leases was limited to a certain level of production based on water depth. The original terms and conditions expired in November 2000, and since that time, a revised incentive plan was adopted that is no longer based on volumes determined by water-depth intervals. Instead, the Department of Interior assigns a lease-specific volume of royalty suspension based on how the determined suspension amount may affect the economics of various development scenarios with the most economically risky projects receiving the most relief, while others may receive no relief. For example, a deep-water field might not receive any relief if it is adjacent to an existing gathering system. On the other hand, a similar field may receive a great deal of relief if it is located far beyond the current pipeline infrastructure.[iv]

If the royalty relief program did not exist, the technology would not have been developed to produce oil and natural gas in the deep water Gulf of Mexico and domestic oil production would be much lower—clearly reducing America’s energy security and making the United States more dependent on foreign imports. This is consistent with the points made by the Honorable Hazel O’Leary, Secretary of Energy during the Clinton Administration.

In a letter on page H11872 of the Congressional Record in support of the legislation at the time,[v] the Secretary said, “Comparing this loss (foregone royalties) with the gain from the bonus bids on a net present value basis, the Federal government would be ahead by $200 million. It is important to note that affected OCS projects would still pay a substantial upfront bonus and then be required to pay a royalty when and if production exceeds their royalty-free period. A royalty-free period, such as that proposed in S. 395, would help enable marginally viable OCS projects to be developed, thus providing additional energy, jobs and other important benefits to the nation.”

On the matter of national security, she went on to add, “The ability to lower costs of domestic production in the central and western Gulf of Mexico by providing appropriate fiscal incentives will lead to an expansion of domestic energy resources, enhance national energy security, and reduce the deficit.”

Clearly, President Clinton and his Administration studied this matter and saw it as a significant national security benefit to the United States, and a benefit, not a loss, to the U.S. Treasury. Besides providing the American public with more oil and gas production and greater energy security, thousands of jobs exist today because of the royalty relief program.

Question: Last-In, First-Out (LIFO) accounting allows oil companies to value their inventories at deeply discounted prices. Repealing this subsidy for the largest oil and gas companies would generate at least $14.1 billion over 10 years, according to the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT). Is there any other industry that benefits from this tax subsidy as much as the oil and gas sector? If so, which sector(s) and how much do they benefit from this subsidy? Would you support ending this accounting methodology for all taxpayers?

Response: All U.S. taxpayers may use the LIFO (Last-In-First-Out) method of accounting for inventories. Repealing this provision for just the oil and gas industry would be particularly detrimental to refiners, who maintain large inventories of both crude and refined products. I believe that all industries should be treated the same under the U.S. tax law and that one industry should not be singled out for differential treatment. This accounting methodology should either be allowed for all taxpayers or repealed for all taxpayers.

Question: Foreign tax credits allow all companies that do business abroad to reduce from their U.S. tax bill by any income taxes paid to other governments. However, these rules were not intended to allow oil companies to claim deductions for what amount to royalty payments to foreign governments. Such payments are not income taxes but fees for the privilege of producing valuable natural resources abroad. Yet, as a result of loosely drafted rules, oil companies are frequently deducting these payments from their U.S. tax liability. Eliminating this tax treatment for the largest oil companies would generate at least $6.5 billion over 10 years, according to the JCT. Would you support ending this tax subsidy for the largest oil companies? Is there any other industry that benefits from this tax subsidy as much as the oil and gas sector? If so, which sector(s) and how much do they benefit from this provision.

Response: The above issue relates to dual capacity rules and according to the Joint Committee on Taxation, U.S. oil and gas companies are already limited in their ability to claim these credits.[vi] Further, the purported issue that you describe, i.e. that companies claim royalty payments as a foreign tax credit, is prevented by the current rules for this provision. Oil and gas companies are under constant audit by the Internal Revenue Service. As a part of these audits, teams of examiners focus heavily on this very issue. If an IRS agent feels that there is an issue related to mischaracterization of a tax payment, he or she need not “prove” the case, but merely needs to raise the question. The taxpayer is then required, under the law, to prove that the payment was, in fact, a payment of tax and not a royalty, and to provide that proof in court, if necessary. The burden of proof rests heavily on the taxpayer in this instance. Modifications to this provision will make U.S. companies less competitive and place a greater share of oil and gas reserves into the hands of non-U.S. companies, employing non-U.S. workers; many of which are foreign-government-controlled.

Question: The section 199 domestic manufacturing deduction was enacted in 2004 and re-categorized the oil industry as a manufacturing industry, thus making it eligible for this deduction. Repealing this provision for the largest oil companies would save $10.4 billion over the next 10 years, according to the JCT. Would you support ending this tax subsidy for the largest oil companies?

Response:The purpose of the domestic manufacturing tax deduction is to incentivize companies to continue to do business in America. The United States now has the highest tax rate in the world among developed countries, and due to these high tax rates, companies have been making investments overseas.[vii] The domestic manufacturing tax deduction allows all industries and businesses (not just oil companies) to deduct a certain percentage of their profits. For the oil and gas industry, the tax deduction is 6 percent; for all other industries (software developers, video game developers, the motion picture industry, among others), it is a 9 percent deduction.[viii] Removing these tax deductions will result in oil companies taking capital abroad to make their investments, reducing U.S. oil production and tax revenues and increasing imports of foreign oil. Given that oil and gas production-related employment on non-federal lands in the United States is one of the few bright spots in the worst economic recovery since the Great Depression, such a result would undermine job creation.

Question: The expensing of intangible drilling costs allows intangible drilling costs, such as wages, repairs, and supplies related to and necessary for drilling and preparing wells for the production of oil and gas, to be deducted in the year they occurred. Non-energy companies must depreciate these costs over time. The JCT estimates that repealing this subsidy will generate $13.2 billion over 10 years. Are any other companies besides oil and gas production companies eligible for this claiming this tax provision? Would you support ending this tax subsidy?

Response: This incentive exists to encourage small companies (less than 20 employees) to produce oil from marginal wells that are old or small and do not produce much oil individually. According to the Independent Petroleum Association of America, independent producers drill 95 percent of the oil and natural gas wells in America, producing 54 percent of U.S. liquids – 54 percent oil and 81 percent condensates. They reinvest 150 percent of their American cash flow back into new American production.[ix]

Independent oil producers are allowed to count certain costs associated with the drilling and development of these wells as business expenses. This ability to expense these costs is analogous to the research and development (R&D) deduction available to all taxpayers engaged in R&D activities. The law allows the small producers to expense the full value of these costs, known as intangible drilling costs, every year to encourage them to explore for new oil. The major companies get a portion of this deduction—they can expense a third of intangible drilling costs, but they must spread the deductions across a five-year period.[x]

Again, I believe that all industries should be treated the same under the tax law and that one industry should not be singled out for differential treatment because the terminology used is different.

Question: Certain oil companies amortize the costs of exploratory work in two years, while other companies must amortize those same costs over seven years. Increasing geological and geophysical amortization periods for oil and gas companies to seven years would harmonize this policy across industries and operators. The JCT estimates that making this change would save taxpayers as much as $1.1 billion over 10 years.Would you support this change in tax policy to eliminate a subsidy?

Response: Independent producers and smaller integrated companies are currently allowed to amortize geological and geophysical (G&G) costs over a 2-year period, whereas major integrated producers may only amortize over 7 years.[xi] According to the Joint Committee on Taxation, G&G costs are costs incurred for the purpose of obtaining and accumulating data that will serve as acquisition and retention of mineral properties[xii], which are akin to research and development expenses that most companies can expense in one year.

“Research and development, or R&D, are the lifeblood of technological advancement, and they factor heavily in most corporate enterprises’ planning and growth. Recognizing the importance of technology and business growth in the international marketplace, the U.S. Congress created tax breaks for companies that engage in R&D. As an incentive to engage in research and development, the IRS permits businesses to deduct all R&D expenses in a single year instead of amortizing as a capital expense.”[xiii]

Again, I believe that all industries should be treated the same under the tax law and that one industry should not be singled out for differential treatment because the terminology used is different.

Question: Oil and gas properties qualify for “percentage depletion,” a tax deduction of 15 percent of gross revenues from the well, even if the deductions exceed the well’s value over time. The JCT estimates that repealing this provision for the large oil companies would generate $11.9 billion over 10 years. Do you support the repeal of this tax subsidy? Are any other companies besides oil and gas production companies eligible for claiming this tax subsidy?

Response: I am grateful for the opportunity to set the record straight on the percentage depletion tax deduction that the small independent oil producers are allowed to deduct on their taxes. As the oil and gas in a well is depleted, the small independent producers are allowed a percentage depletion allowance to be deducted from their taxes. While the percentage depletion allowance sounds complicated, it is similar to the treatment given other businesses for depreciation of an asset. The tax code essentially treats the value of a well as it does the value of a newly constructed factory, allowing a percentage of the value to be depreciated each year. This allowance was first instituted in 1926 to compensate for the decreasing value of the resource, and was eliminated for major oil companies in 1975.[xiv] This allowance applies only to the first 1,000 barrels of production during the period, so it is of little significance to large independent producers. It saves the independent oil and gas producers about $1 billion in taxes per year.[xv] It is true that repealing this provision would extract more tax revenue from these energy producers since that is what tax hikes do, but it would make sense from neither an economic nor accounting perspective. When oil is removed from a well and sold, the remaining value of the well does go down. The percentage depletion deduction addresses this reality of oil and gas production.

Question: Under the tax rules governing tertiary injectants, oil companies deduct expenses relating to the cost of tertiary injectants during the taxable year, instead of depreciating these costs over a typical cost recovery schedule. Ending this subsidy for large oil companies would generate $32 million over 10 years, according to the JCT. Do you support the repeal of this tax subsidy? Are any other companies besides oil and gas production companies eligible for this claiming this tax subsidy?

Response: According to the Joint Committee on Taxation, oil and gas companies can deduct tertiary injectant expenses during the taxable year[xvi], similar to a business expense of other companies. This provision was provided to the oil and gas industry to increase domestic oil production, providing greater energy security for the nation. And, it is continuing to be effective. For example, domestic oil production from enhanced oil recovery is expected to increase in EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook projections by over 160 percent between 2012 and 2040[xvii], which shows that this tax provision is fulfilling its intended purpose of increasing domestic oil production, thereby increasing energy security.

Question: Taxpayers can shelter active income through passive losses or credits associated with the production of oil and gas, a condition that does not apply to other sources of passive income or credit. Repealing the exception for passive loss limitations for oil and gas properties for oil companies with revenues above $50 million per year would generate $9 million over 10 years, according to the JCT. Would you support this change to harmonize tax treatment so as not to favor oil and gas investments over other types of energy investments?

Response: Although this is not a specifically energy-related topic, in the spirit of promoting economic efficiency and avoiding the government picking winners and losers, IER supports broad-based tax reform that would eliminate all tax credits and deductions for all firms, so long as marginal tax rates were reduced across-the-board to maintain revenue neutrality. This reform would flatten the tax code and consistently apply the same rules to everybody, removing the temptation for government officials to dole out privileges to favored groups by partially shielding them from the full burden of the code. IER would fully support Senator Markey if he chooses to promote such broad-based tax reform. However, if Senator Markey believes it is good policy to discriminate against a particular industry merely because they produce hydrocarbons, then Senator Markey’s proposal will not provide efficient tax reform but instead will simply be a tax hike on one of the few sectors of our economy that has been consistently producing jobs since the recession began.

[i] Ernst and Young, US E&P Benchmark Study, June 2012, http://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/US_E_and_P_benchmark_study_-_June_2012/$FILE/US_EP_benchmark_study_2012.pdf

[ii] https://beta.congress.gov/bill/113th-congress/senate-bill/2433.

[iii] Energy Information Administration, Levelized Cost and Levelized Avoided Cost of New Generation Resources in the Annual Energy Outlook 2014, April 17, 2014, http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/electricity_generation.cfm

[iv] Encyclopedia of Earth, Deep Water Royalty Relief Act, July 17, 2011, http://www.eoearth.org/view/article/160979/

[v] Congressional Record, November 8, 1995, http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CREC-1995-11-08/pdf/CREC-1995-11-08.pdf

[vi] Joint Committee on Taxation, Description of Present Law and Select Proposals Relating to the Oil and Gas Industry, May 12, 2011, https://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=3787

[vii] US News, World’s Highest Corporate Tax Rate Hurts U.S. Economically, April 2, 2012, http://www.usnews.com/opinion/economic-intelligence/2012/04/02/worlds-highest-corporate-tax-rate-hurts-us-economically

[viii] Scientific American, End Oil Subsidies? The $4 Billion Dollar Question, February 21, 2012, http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/plugged-in/2012/02/21/guest-post-end-oil-subsidies-the-4-billion-question/

[ix] Independent Petroleum Association of America, http://oilindependents.org/about/

[x] Trib.com, Obama tax changes could hit small oil and gas operators in Wyoming, March 30, 2012, http://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/obama-tax-changes-could-hit-small-oil-and-gas-operators/article_6b18a423-f5ec-5301-b920-05491a9d40ab.html

[xi] Joint Committee on Taxation, Description of Present Law and Select Proposals Relating to the Oil and Gas Industry, May 12, 2011, https://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=3787

[xii] Joint Committee on Taxation, Description of Present Law and Select Proposals Relating to the Oil and Gas Industry, May 12, 2011, https://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=3787

[xiii] Small Business, Tax Breaks for R&D, http://smallbusiness.chron.com/tax-breaks-rd-36815.html

[xiv] Star Tribune, Obama tax changes could hit small oil and gas operators in Wyoming, March 30, 2012, http://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/obama-tax-changes-could-hit-small-oil-and-gas-operators/article_6b18a423-f5ec-5301-b920-05491a9d40ab.html

[xv]Scientific American, End Oil Subsidies? The $4 Billion Dollar Question, February 21, 2012, http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/plugged-in/2012/02/21/guest-post-end-oil-subsidies-the-4-billion-question/

[xvi] Joint Committee on Taxation, Description of Present Law and Select Proposals Relating to the Oil and Gas Industry, May 12, 2011, https://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=3787

[xvii] Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2014, http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/pdf/tbla14.pdf

EPA Chopper

EPA Chopper 590AEA

EPA’s Expanded Definition of Cellulosic Biofuels: A+ Grades for C- Performance

Last month, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) issued a final rule expanding the types of fuels that can qualify as cellulosic biofuel under the Renewable Fuel Standards (RFS).[i]   For the EPA this is perfect timing, as it still has yet to finalize the RFS standards for 2014, but is proposing to significantly increase the cellulosic target.  It’s current proposal would require the blending of 17 million gallons of cellulosic biofuel – up 11 million gallons from the 2013 target – [ii] despite the fact that a mere 422,740 gallons of cellulosic biofuel were produced in 2013, and only 72,754 gallons have cellulosic biofuel have been produced through the first six months of 2014.

EPA’s estimates of cellulosic biofuel production have overestimated production by millions of gallons every year. EPA is therefore trying to increase what is defined as “cellulosic biofuel.”

Expanding what qualifies as a cellulosic biofuel increases the volume of cellulosic production, and will help fuel producers meet the overly ambitious 2014 targets.  After all, the RFS mandates the blending of 16 billion gallons of cellulosic biofuel into transportation fuel by 2022, and with just over 800,000 gallons of cellulosic biofuel produced last year[iii]—only 0.0008 percent of the original 2013 target of 1 billion gallons and 0.13 percent of the EPA’s 2013 adjusted target of 6 million gallons—it should come as no surprise that EPA is trying to ramp up cellulosic production.

What is Cellulosic Biofuel?

As defined by the Clean Air Act, cellulosic biofuel is “a renewable fuel derived from any cellulose, hemicellulose, or lignin that is derived from renewable biomass and that has lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions…that are at least 60 percent less than the baseline lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions”.[iv]  However, many plants do not solely contain cellulose, hemicellulose, or lignin, but also include varying amounts of other components that can also be converted into renewable fuel.[v]  For this reason, it may be appropriate to allow de minimis exceptions – such that an entire fuel can be considered cellulosic, so long as a very small portion is derived from a non-cellulosic source.

In light of this, existing RFS regulations specify that “it is appropriate for producers to base RIN assignment on the predominant component and, therefore, to assume that the biogenic portion of their fuel is entirely of cellulosic origin”(emphasis added).[vi]   In other words, the existing RFS regulations suggest that although a fuel may not be entirely made out of a cellulosic source, it can be assigned a total cellulosic RIN value if it is “predominantly” made from feedstock containing cellulose.  Comments on a minimum threshold to be considered “predominant” ranged from 70 percent to 99.9 percent, with some interpretations suggesting that the existing regulations allowed only for minimal exceptions to fuels that were 95 percent to 99 percent cellulosic in origin.[vii]

Rather than minimal exceptions, EPA’s new regulation drastically alters what it defines as cellulosic ethanol, and is now allowing fuel that is 75 percent cellulosic to count as 100 percent cellulosic. Setting such a low threshold means that EPA can now classify other fuels as entirely cellulosic, such as compressed natural gas and liquefied natural gas that is produced using biogas from landfills.[viii]

EPA has gone even one step further in this vein, and will now categorize electricity generated from biogas that is used in the transportation sector to power electric vehicles as cellulosic.[ix]

Fudging What is Cellulosic Biofuel—Even Electricity Can Now Be Called “Biofuel”

EPA’s expanded definition of cellulosic biofuel production quite clearly fudges the Clean Air Act’s definition of a cellulosic biofuel.  Now, any biofuel with a 75 percent cellulosic content is considered to be 100 percent cellulosic, which means that rather substantial portions of fuels that are not “derived from any cellulose, hemicellulose, or lignin” will be considered as such.  Furthermore, including up to 25 percent non-cellulosic fuel in cellulosic production volumes artificially inflates the reported amount of actual cellulosic biofuel produced, which could lead to continually inflated RFS cellulosic targets in the future.[x]

Suspicion also arises over the EPA’s rather low and ambiguous threshold target when political intentions are considered.  Setting such a low threshold allows for a substantial increase in the types of fuel that can be counted as entirely cellulosic, and is an easy way to bring in new constituencies to support the RFS.  With renewable electricity generators now able to obtain valuable cellulosic RINs from transportation fuels produced using biogas, incentives now exist for utilities to support electric vehicle (EV) production and infrastructural improvement, a pleasing development for the EV sector always hungry for subsidies. [xi]

Defining electricity as cellulosic biofuel is quite clearly wrong unless the biogas electricity generator is only connected to an electric vehicle and not connected to the electric grid. Otherwise the electricity that actually reaches the electric vehicle will actually come from numerous sources, such as coal and natural gas instead of the biogas.

Conclusion

As the RFS continues to be less of a success story and EPA is repeatedly forced to lower the original proposed standards, it should come as no surprise that EPA seeks to gain supporters before the final rule on the 2014 RFS standards. Moreover, allowing the EPA to arbitrarily redefine what it means for a fuel to be cellulosic opens the door for further corruption and fraud, as we have already witnessed in RIN trading.

The expanded pathways rule alters the definition of a cellulosic biofuel by allowing fuel containing only 75 percent cellulose, hemicellulose, or lignin to be counted as 100 percent cellulosic biofuel—it’s like assigning an A+ grade to a piece of C-student writing.  Although the rule will undoubtedly increase the reported volume of cellulosic biofuel production, it allows EPA to continue to get away with setting unrealistic and inflated cellulosic targets.  Using this regulation to create new support for the RFS is a dangerous consequence of the political maneuvering that has taken place in order to keep the RFS alive.

This post was authored by IER Summer Associate Sarah Pearce.


[i] Environmental Protection Agency, EPA Issues Final Rule for Renewable Fuel Standards (RFS) Pathways II and Modifications to the RFS Program, Ultra Low Sulfur Diesel Requirements, and E15 Misfueling Mitigation Requirements, July 2, 2014, http://www.epa.gov/otaq/fuels/renewablefuels/documents/420f14045.pdf.

[ii] Environmental Protection Agency, Federal Register, Vol. 78, No. 230, November 29, 2013, http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2013-11-29/pdf/2013-28155.pdf.

[iii] Environmental Protection Agency, EPA Issues Direct Final Rule of 2013 Cellulosic Standard, April 2014, http://www.epa.gov/otaq/fuels/renewablefuels/documents/420f14018.pdf.

[iv] Clean Air Act of 2007, 42 U.S.C. § 7545, Regulation of Fuels

[v] Environmental Protection Agency, 40 C.F.R. Part 80, Regulation of Fuels and Fuel Additives: RFS Pathways II, and Technical Amendments to the RFS Standards and E15 Misfueling Mitigation Requirements, July 2, 2014, http://www.epa.gov/otaq/fuels/renewablefuels/documents/rfs-path-II-fr-07-02-14.pdf.

[vi] ibid

[vii] ibid

[viii] ibid

[ix] ibid

[x] Comments of the American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers and the American Petroleum Institute, Regulation of Fuels and Fuel Additives: RFS Pathways II and Technical Amendments to the RFS 2 Standards, Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2012-040,  July 15, 2013.

[xi] Peterka, Amanda, In new twist, RFS could boost electric vehicles, Greenwire, July 8, 2014, http://www.eenews.net/stories/1060002483.

Climate Hero

Climate Hero AEA

Solar Power’s Great, If We Ignore Its Problems

The following graphic was recently making the rounds on social media:

The total area of solar panels it would take to power the world, Europe, and Germany: 

(Source.)

The purpose of the graphic, of course, is to show what a “no brainer” it is for humans to switch to solar-powered electricity plants. Many people presumably saw that graphic and were pleasantly surprised to see how little it would take, in order to provide for all of Earth’s electricity needs using solar. But in this post I want to walk through the issue a bit more thoroughly, to see why this graphic—though at first quite interesting—actually doesn’t prove anything at all about whether solar is good or bad, or whether governments should enact policies to promote solar power.

In the first place, consider a different graphic: How big would the square have to be, to contain enough coal-fired power plants to provide electricity for the planet? Why, the square would be tiny—you couldn’t even see it. That’s because coal-fired electricity generation doesn’t take nearly as much surface area as solar. So did I just prove that we should embrace coal-fired generation, since it wouldn’t take up much space in the desert?

Presumably the people who dreamt up the above image would retort that coal-fired plants are inadmissible because of concerns over climate change and air pollution; the point of the graphic is to show that a “clean” technology like solar can provide us with all we need.

Yet this mentality completely ignores the economic realities. Specifically, why don’t the fans of the above image go invest in solar panels and erect them in a square grid in Algeria?  The answer is obvious: They would lose a lot of money doing so. For one thing, you have to somehow transmit the electricity from Algeria to the rest of the world.

Continuing with this train of light, it soon becomes clear that the above image isn’t an actual proposal, but is rather a provocative way of illustrating facts about physics and engineering. Namely, given current solar technology, and given the amount of global electricity consumption, a simple math problem shows how much surface area in solar panels it would take to generate that much electricity.

But so what? By the same token, we could run through some back-of-the-envelope calculations and “prove” that we could provide for the entire annual energy needs—not just electricity—of the planet with a single elephant…so long as it was made of antimatter. Now I suppose one might object that my antimatter elephant solution for energy is a bit impractical. Well, the same is true for filling Algeria with solar panels.

All things considered, coal- and natural gas-fired power plants are the most economical ways to provide households and businesses with large amounts of electricity. (Depending on the specific circumstances and liability rules, nuclear plants might also do the job economically.) This is why free markets gravitate to these technologies. Currently, solar and other favored “green” technologies can serve niche roles, but they are not yet profitable for widespread adoption without government support. Mere arguments from physics and chemistry are not sufficient to pick an energy source. The choice involves economic considerations as well—an area where government intrusion will only lead to waste.

IER Senior Economist Robert Murphy authored this post.

Obama’s Workshop

Obama Workshop

Chicago’s Proposed E15 Mandate is Bad News for Consumers

Five members of Chicago’s City Council have proposed an ordinance to require all self-serve gas stations within the city to offer mid-grade E15 at their pumps. This mandate will harm the small business owners that operate many of these gas stations and it will likely lead to more damaged engines as consumers use E15 in engines that were not specifically designed for it. Hopefully, the Chicago City Council will reverse course.

E15 is a blend of gasoline with up to 15 volume percent ethanol. According to the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), E15 is sufficient for use in “all model year 2001 and newer light-duty vehicles”. But others disagree and explain that using E15 in engines not specifically designed for it could have potentially disastrous effects because the engines are not designed to hold up against ethanol’s harsh corrosive properties.

With this understanding, automotive manufacturers have announced that they will not cover fuel-related claims on vehicles that have used E15 as a fuel source and, according to testimony from AAA’s President and CEO (p. 2) Robert Darbelnet before the U.S. House Committee on Energy and Commerce, only 5 percent of vehicles in the U.S. have warranties that approve the use of the fuel. In the same testimony, Darbelnet noted that in 2012, a short time ago, “95 percent of consumers had never heard of the fuel,” much less understand the impacts it could have on the health of their car engines. Many consumer advocate groups worry that individuals will inadvertently fill their tanks with E15 and end up paying for the repairs on their own.

The Chicago ordinance will require stations with annual sales in excess of 500,000 gallons to offer the fuel, along with new equipment to dispense it. To put this in perspective, “the average convenience store in 2011 sold roughly 128,000 gallons of motor fuels per month” according to The Association for Convenience & Fuel Retailing (p.12). That’s over 1.5 million gallons a year on average. The only stations exempt from the proposed requirement are those that have underground storage tanks that are incompatible with blended fuels.

This leaves stations with incompatible equipment responsible for installing the upgrades necessary to dispense E15. A report by the Petroleum Equipment Institute, commissioned by the U.S. Department of Agriculture finds that these additions have an average cost of $40,874. This expense could have a big impact on station owners. A study by Sageworks, a financial analysis firm, determined that the owners of privately held gas stations pocket less than three cents of every dollar spent by consumers and as a result, “any unexpected expense could be crippling” to the business.

There was a time when consumers could safely assume that any fuel at a gas station was safe to use in their engines. If this ordinance passes, this will no longer be the case. Chicago City Council’s plan to require E15 dispensing equipment and fuel at self-serve stations is a costly move with no upside for gasoline buyers. Station owners will be required to shell out thousands of dollars to retrofit their equipment so that it can pump a fuel that is restricted for use in a small number of vehicles, is distrusted by automotive manufacturers and insurance companies, and is less efficient (3-4 percent fewer mpg) than traditional gasoline.

IER Summer Associate Justin Bohlen authored this post.

Technological Advancements Increasing Access to Oil and Gas in Atlantic OCS

A recent assessment from the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) found that there has been a 42 percent increase in technically recoverable oil and a 20 percent increase in technically recoverable gas[1] in the Atlantic Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) since 2011, when the last assessment was conducted.  This amounts to a mean of 4.72 billion barrels of undiscovered technically recoverable oil and 37.51 trillion cubic feet of undiscovered technically recoverable natural gas[2] just off the east coast in the Atlantic. This massive increase in technically recoverable resources is yet another example of the increasing availability of fossil fuel resources in the United States, as extraction technology and further improvements in data analysis are fueled by market innovation.

Specifically, the BOEM report stated that these advancements allow ships to drill down to 12,000 feet of water depth and 40,000 feet of total depth. [DS1] Additional improvement in horizontal wells and multilateral completion systems that allow for drilling of multiple wells with in a single wellbore have also allowed for previously unreachable resources to be tapped and utilized.

BOEM’s report was optimistic about future resource recovery and stated that resource extraction will “…likely expand the envelope of producible oil and gas resources in very challenging environments”[3] such as the Atlantic Outer Continental Shelf (OCS), and that this report measured resources only taking existing technologies into account. Only the future can tell what future innovations will do to increase our access to natural resources and subsequently increase our quality of life.

New discoveries and technological advancements such as these have shown that the often-repeated mantra – that we are ‘running out of resources’ – is wearing thin. While “renewable” sources of energy such as solar, wind, and biofuels spent massive amounts of effort in Washington D.C. arguing for subsidies to further their technologies and policies that restrict their competitors, oil and gas companies have literally reshaped the energy landscape and turned the United States into the largest producer of oil[4] and gas[5] in the world.

This post was authored by IER Policy Associate, John Glennon. 


[1] Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Assessment of Undiscovered Technically Recoverable Oil and Gas Resources of the Atlantic Outer Continental Shelf, 2014 Update, http://www.boem.gov/Assessment-of-Oil-and-Gas-Resources-2014-Update/

[2] Id.

[3] Id.

[4] Energy Information Agency, International Energy Statistics, http://www.eia.gov/cfapps/ipdbproject/IEDIndex3.cfm?tid=3&pid=26&aid=1

[5] Id.