On this episode of The Unregulated Podcast Tom Pyle and Mike McKenna discuss the ongoing drama surrounding Joe Manchin’s inflation bill and the details coming about regarding the FBI raid of Mar-a-Largo.
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On this episode of The Unregulated Podcast Tom Pyle and Mike McKenna discuss the ongoing drama surrounding Joe Manchin’s inflation bill and the details coming about regarding the FBI raid of Mar-a-Largo.
Links:
Senator Manchin said that Democratic leaders had “committed to advancing a suite of commonsense permitting reforms this fall that will ensure all energy infrastructure, from transmission to pipelines and export facilities, can be efficiently and responsibly built.” With that promise, Manchin agreed to the “Inflation Reduction Act” that recently passed the Senate along party lines. But since then, 47 of his fellow Democratic Senators rejected a permit streamlining measure. The Senate voted 50–47 to approve a Congressional Review Act resolution sponsored by Senator Dan Sullivan that would undo the Biden administration’s regulatory changes to the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA), but Manchin was the only Democratic Senator who voted in favor. NEPA is the 50-year-old law that requires federal agencies examine the environmental impacts of their actions, essentially regarding all new projects from funding a new road or permitting a new pipeline or power plant. The vote is not a good omen for streamlining regulations since to proceed outside of the Budget Reconciliation process, 60 votes will be necessary.
The pipeline permitting situation is holding up oil and natural gas pipelines that are needed to ship these fuels so that Americans can have the fuel they need for transportation, heating and electricity production. Pipelines are the safest and least costly method of shipping oil and natural gas. But, pipelines are having difficulty getting the permits they need and are often caught up in multiple legal challenges from opponents of energy projects.
Mountain Valley Pipeline
Senator Manchin believes he got approval for the Mountain Valley pipeline to move natural gas from West Virginia to southern Virginia that was originally set for completion in 2018 and that is 94 percent complete. The delays have increased the pipeline’s cost from the original estimate of $3.5 billion to $6.6 billion. The White House and congressional leaders have agreed to ensure final approval of all permits for the Mountain Valley Pipeline, according to a summary released by Manchin’s office that also details what the Senator expects in permitting reform including restrictions on NEPA reviews. The agreement, which requires separate legislation under “regular order” (requiring 60 votes) would also move any further legal challenges to the Mountain Valley pipeline permits from a federal appeals court to the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals.
Great Lakes Tunnel and Line 5
Another pipeline operator, Enbridge, wants to replace its Line 5, an oil pipeline that crosses the Great Lakes through the Strait of Mackinac, with the Great Lakes Tunnel that will be bored through rock about 100 feet below the lakebed virtually eliminating the chance of a pipeline spill. The Great Lakes Tunnel is a $500-million private investment by Enbridge that was conceived in 2018. While attempting to get the necessary permits for the project, Michigan governor Gretchen Whitmer took legal action to close Line 5 supposedly due to the potential for an oil spill, despite no major spill occurring in its 69-year history. Line 5 runs from Superior, Wisconsin to Sarnia, Ontario, and together with Line 78 forms a critical part of the Enbridge Mainline system out of western Canada. Line 5, which typically runs at full capacity can ship about 540,000 barrels per day of light oil and natural gas liquids to refineries in Detroit, Michigan; Toledo, Ohio; Warren, Pennsylvania; and Ontario and provides oil interconnections to Montreal, Quebec. Enbridge has filed a complaint seeking an injunction to prevent the shutdown, stating that pipeline regulation is a U.S. federal matter, not a state matter.
There are nine refineries served by the system that encompasses Line 5 with oil distillation capacity of more than 1 million barrels per day that produce over 400,000 barrels per day of gasoline, 200,000 barrels per day of diesel and 150,000 barrels per day of jet fuel. The impact of closing line 5 would mean that these refineries would need to obtain oil elsewhere, use other more expensive forms of transportation (rail or truck), or operate at reduced rates. Some of these refineries would be at a major competitive disadvantage relative to other refineries that are still able to receive oil by pipeline. A Line 5 shutdown could result in higher petroleum product prices in a market that has recently seen record prices and would further tighten conditions for existing refineries due to refinery closures from COVID lockdowns and converting several refineries to biofuels due to lucrative state and federal subsidies. It would also affect propane prices in Michigan, which is heavily dependent on it for a source of heating as well as for agriculture.
Conclusion
Pipeline permitting reform is clearly needed to ensure Americans have the fuels they need. But, it is unclear whether Senator Manchin can get his fellow Democratic Senators to enact the reform he has indicated in his summary that covers several aspects of permitting. Manchin expects new legislation this fall that will provide that reform. However, the situation does not look good given that 47 Democratic Senators voted against the Sullivan amendment, which would be a start to reform, by rolling back the Biden administration’s changes to NEPA.
*This article was adapted from content originally published by the Institute for Energy Research.
The American Energy Alliance urges all members to oppose H.R. 5376, the 2022 budget resolution reconciliation legislation.
The reconciliation package is filled with new taxes and spending that are bad policy at any time, but especially dangerous at a time of high inflation and with the economy tipping into recession. As multiple independent analyses show, this legislation will not reduce inflation despite the title adopted by its proponents. More government spending, more subsidies, and more taxes are hardly what a shaky economy, already reeling from excessive government spending, needs right now.
The energy taxes included in the package are especially foolish at a time when even the Biden White House, which has vowed to end oil and gas use, is begging for more domestic production in the face of high energy prices. The legislation would impose a new tax on methane, it would increase taxes on oil and gas production on federal lands, increases taxes on coal production, and reimposes a long-expired environmental tax on oil production. Every one of those tax increases will be passed on to consumers, and not just in the form of higher prices at the pump or costlier electricity bills. Everything in this country moved by trucks, running on more expensive diesel, will cost more. Groceries, clothing, appliances, and even Amazon deliveries — all more expensive. This legislation is irresponsible and should be opposed.
The AEA urges all members to support free markets and affordable energy by voting NO on H.R. 5376. AEA will include this vote in its American Energy Scorecard.
Contact your representative with the tool below and tell them to ditch the Manchin/Schumer inflation acceleration act TODAY!
According to the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton school, “The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022” championed by Senator Manchin and Senator Schumer likely would not reduce inflation at all. The study, from the Penn Wharton Budget Model, estimates the proposed bill would cause inflation to ‘very slightly’ rise until 2024 then possibly decline after that. Overall, the researchers indicate that there is “low confidence that the legislation will have any impact on inflation.” But, inflation is what voters are most worried about, which is why the bill’s pretentious name is “inflation reduction.” According to a recent Census Bureau survey, four in 10 Americans say it is somewhat or very difficult to cover usual household expenses. The Wall Street Journal reports that more and more Americans are shopping at dollar and discount stores to help cope with the high prices for food and sundry items, with average spending increasing 71 percent from October 2021 to June 2022 at discount chains. Further, Americans in coal-rich states, such as West Virginia, Senator Manchin’s state, will likely be hurt the most.
West Virginia is the nation’s second-leading coal producer and the state generates 88 percent of its electricity from coal. Previously, Senator Manchin told his constituents that we must “innovate not eliminate.” But, the deal Manchin crafted with Senate Majority Leader Charles Schumer will do the opposite. It will reduce coal-producing operations and do little to innovate coal assets, as the subsidies for renewables are so generous that more coal generators will be shuttered. By increasing the lofty incentives that already extend to renewable energy, the nation’s baseload, affordable and reliable coal electric generation assets will continue to be devalued and thrust into rapid decline.
In defiance of Manchin, West Virginia is taking its own action against banks and financial firms that have stopped supporting the coal industry. West Virginia’s Treasurer Riley Moore placed five companies on a state-mandated list of restricted financial institutions which engage in a “boycott of energy companies.” The five financial firms that practice environmental, social and governance (ESG) against traditional energy companies that are now ineligible for state banking contracts are BlackRock Inc., Goldman Sachs Group Inc., J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo & Co.
West Virginians know that if passed, the act will increase the prices that Americans pay for energy, make the United States less energy secure, and likely do nothing for the environment despite Democrat Senators buying into the argument that it will reduce carbon emissions by 40 percent by 2030. No matter what actions the United States takes, large emitters such as China and India will continue to consume coal to ensure reliable and affordable power for their citizens and their economies. In 2021, China, the world largest emitter of carbon dioxide, and India, the world’s third largest emitter of carbon dioxide, together were responsible for over 38 percent of the world’s carbon dioxide emissions. Oxford University’s Eyck Freymann, a reader of Chinese policy in Chinese, indicates: Beijing has already decided it makes more sense to live with rising carbon dioxide levels than combat them.
And, that is what they are doing. In April, China announced it will increase coal output by 300 million tons this year—that increase alone being about half of total U.S. coal production. China already uses more coal for electrical generation than the rest of the world combined. China’s think tanks are expecting coal-fired power generation capacity to increase by 150 gigawatts over the 2021-2025 period. These plants easily operate for 4 or 5 decades. The new plants would put China’s known coal-fired generation capacity at 1,230 gigawatts—about 6 times the U.S. current coal-fired generating capacity. China’s carbon dioxide emissions in 2021 were over twice those of the United States and they are growing, exceeding 10,500 million metric tons in 2021. Between 2007 and 2021, the United States decreased its carbon dioxide emissions by 20 percent while China increased its carbon dioxide emissions by 46 percent.
Fossil energy accounted for 82 percent of global energy consumption last year, down from 85 percent in 2016, so in 5 years the world has made little progress to decrease their use, despite western countries providing massive incentives. Total energy consumption continues to grow, increasing last year by 5.8 percent, including a 6.0 percent increase in coal with China and India accounting for over 70 percent of its growth. Coal remained the dominant fuel for electricity generation with a 36 percent share. Non-hydroelectric renewable energy increased by 15 percent led by wind and solar power, which garnered 10 percent of the electricity market. The increase in non-hydro renewable energy only supplied 29 percent of the increase in total energy last year. With the demand for energy continuing to grow as a billion-plus humans seek to rise from poverty, it is unlikely that fossil fuels will disappear at the rate western countries have pushed for.
Conclusion
West Virginians know that the Manchin Schumer bill will increase energy prices and destroy their way of living. Inflation is skyrocketing and this bill will not reduce it despite the claims by these senators. Further, it will destroy the U.S. energy system, forcing Americans to rely on expensive and unreliable intermittent renewable energy with expensive batteries as back-up that cannot do the job.
*This article was adapted from content originally published by the Institute for Energy Research.
On this episode of The Unregulated Podcast, Tom Pyle and Mike McKenna discuss Joe Biden going back on his campaign promise on raising taxes and a granular breakdown of the Schumer/Manchin “climate” bill.
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The Manchin/Schumer ”Inflation Reduction Act“ keeps and extends the $7,500 tax credit on electric vehicles and removes the numerical cap but there are a number of stipulations related to obtaining the full credit, one of which is where the battery materials are made. To qualify for $3,750 of the credit, an increasing share of a vehicle’s battery minerals such as lithium and nickel must be extracted or processed in the United States or in a country with which the United States has a free-trade agreement, starting at 40 percent in 2023 and increasing to 80 percent in 2027. The other half of the credit will only be available for vehicles in which a majority of its battery components are made in North America, starting at 50 percent in 2023 and growing to 100 percent by 2029. The credit ends on December 31, 2032.
What makes these stipulations an issue for buyers and automakers is that most of the world’s critical minerals are mined in countries such as Russia, China, Indonesia and the Democratic Republic of Congo with which the United States does not have free-trade agreements. In fact, China dominates the world battery market and the processing of the materials needed to produce the battery. About 80 percent to 90 percent of battery components are made in China, which refines 68 percent of the world’s nickel, 73 percent of cobalt, 93 percent of manganese and 100 percent of the graphite in electric vehicle batteries. China dominates mineral refining and battery component production because it invested heavily in mineral extraction over the past several decades and because it is far more lenient on regulation than the United States and Europe.
Senator Joe Manchin insisted on these requirements to ensure that a critical mineral mining industry develops in the United States. Since President Biden has been in office, a number of mining projects that have been under development for years or even decades have been turned down for permits or have had them revoked. In January, the Biden administration revoked federal leases for the Twin Metals mine in Minnesota that contains copper, nickel and cobalt. In June, the U.S. Forest Service recommended a region-wide ban on mineral mining in the Superior National Forest. In Minnesota, legal challenges and permitting issues are holding up the PolyMet copper and nickel mine, which has undergone over a decade of environmental review. Environmental groups have sued to block a lithium mining project in Nevada and two copper mines in Arizona (Rosemont and Resolution) are under federal environmental review and legal suits from environmentalists. Copper producers are worried about the opposition to building new mines, with major projects stuck in limbo from the United States to Peru. California recently imposed a tax on in-state lithium production, which could make projects unprofitable.
Regulators suspended a right-of-way for a road in Alaska, which provided access to one of the world’s largest mineral deposits including zinc and copper. On March 11, the Bureau of Land Management notified the Alaska Industrial Development and Export Authority that it suspended a previously issued 50-year right-of-way that covers 25 miles of a proposed 211-mile road connecting the Ambler Mining District to Alaska’s highway system. Biden’s Department of Interior determined that the effects the proposed Ambler Road might have on subsistence uses were not properly evaluated and that tribes were not adequately consulted prior to issuing the right-of-way, despite seven years of such evaluations and consultations. Further, BLM’s right-of-way suspension notice did not identify any specific deficiencies or corrective action plan, which leaves the development authority at a federal roadblock without any indications of what needs to be done or how long it will take to gain access to the Ambler Mining District.
Other Electric Vehicle Tax Credit Stipulations
The bill would change the credit from an electric vehicle credit to a “clean” vehicle credit, allowing fuel cell vehicles to qualify. To qualify for the credit, the vehicle must undergo final assembly in North America (i.e., United States, Mexico or Canada).
The bill removes the current cap of 200,000 electric vehicles per manufacturer that can receive the credits. In the past, the cap had been established to ensure the commercialization of the new technology. Now it is a direct subsidy in pursuit of Biden’s net zero carbon dioxide emission dream. Tesla and General Motors have used up their quotas, and companies such as Ford Motor and Toyota will soon lose access to the credits.
The bill imposes an income limit with phase out based on the taxpayer’s modified adjusted gross income. The phase out starts if the adjusted gross income exceeds $300,000 for a married couple filing jointly, $225,000 for a head of household, and $150,000 otherwise. The bill also establishes a price limit to qualify for vans, SUVs and pickups ($80,000) and sedans ($55,000).
The bill would also create a used electric vehicle credit through 2032, capped at the lessor of $4,000 or 30 percent of the sales price. The credit amount begins to phase out if the taxpayer’s adjusted gross income is above certain thresholds: $150,000 for married couples filing jointly, $112,500 for head of household, and $75,000 otherwise.
The bill would create a new up-to 30 percent credit (not to exceed $40,000) for the cost of commercial electric vehicles and fuel cell vehicles through 2032.
The bill also extends the 30 percent credit for charging/refueling stations through 2032. It would provide a base rate of 6 percent of expenses up to $100,000 and a bonus rate of 30 percent of expenses up to $100,000. To qualify for the bonus rate, taxpayers must meet labor requirements.
Conclusion
Electric vehicle automakers received a tax credit extension and the removal of the cap on the number of vehicles sold in the proposed bill, but the stipulations on the battery component and minerals needed may result in no tax credit at all if the Biden administration continues with the barriers to mining that it has so far instituted. The Biden administration has revoked leases and withheld permits on several critical mineral mines in the United States, many of which have spent a decade or more getting permits and holding consultations with tribes and communities. Biden’s electric vehicle goals are dependent on the tax credit, but those goals will not be met if Biden’s war on mining continues.
*This article was adapted from content originally published by the Institute for Energy Research.
The American Energy Alliance urges all Senators to support S.J. Res. 55, the Congressional Review Act resolution of disapproval for the Council on Environmental Quality revisions to implementation rules for the National Environmental Policy Act.
Construction of infrastructure of all types takes far too long, and costs far too much, in the United States. One of the primary reasons for this excessive time and expense is the tangled mess of the NEPA review process. This costly and lengthy process, large parts of which are unnecessary for environmental protection, is in desperate need of reform. The reforms undertaken under the Trump administration were small and incremental changes. An improvement, but hardly a true fix.
Unfortunately, the Biden administration has chosen to reverse even these minor changes to the NEPA process. This reversal mean that even more of the money authorized by last year’s bipartisan infrastructure legislation will end up wasted on NEPA bureaucracy. The Biden administration’s action to increase the costs and slow infrastructure development will add to already high inflationary pressure and weigh on an economy entering recession. It is harmful policy and should be opposed.
The AEA urges all members to support free markets and affordable energy by voting YES on S.J. Res. 55. AEA will include this vote in its American Energy Scorecard.
The Federal government has already spent well over $100 billion on renewable credits for electricity production since their enactment three decades ago, and the “Inflation Reduction Act” will cost taxpayers another $98 billion. The proposed bill is full of incentives for renewable energy technologies, chief among an extension of wind and solar tax credits significantly increasing subsidies for them, provided additional criteria are met during construction. It also offers new tax credits for domestic manufacturing of solar panels and wind turbine parts as well as energy storage projects sited separately from renewable generation facilities. Wind and solar projects would effectively get an extension on tax credits for production and investment, as would stand-alone energy storage projects. If Senator Joe Manchin wanted to handicap natural gas and coal generators and force more retirements, this is certainly a way to do it. The United States would be forcing renewable energy in the same fashion as Europe has been doing.
The Renewable Tax Credits
The Production Tax Credit (PTC) and the Investment Tax Credit (ITC) are modified as follows:
Example of the Old and New PTC Credit
Assuming an average qualified facility produced 84,000,000 kilowatt hours per year, under the old rules for the production tax credit, it would be allowed a credit up to $1,512,000 (84,000,000 x .018 cents) each year for ten years as the phase-out was in effect. Under the proposed changes, provided the wage and apprenticeship requirements plus the domestic content usage are met, the credit would increase to $2,772,000 per year (84,000,000 x .03 x 1.10 percent) each year—83 percent higher—for ten years, resulting in an increase of over $12.6 million over a ten-year period. Note the base factors are inflation adjusted. Also, note that there are other up-lift factors not included in this example that could apply if the project qualifies.
Conclusion
The Senate’s proposed Inflation bill is full of investments and tax credits that encourage Biden’s transition to renewable energy, which is just force-feeding inefficient and expensive alternatives using taxpayer funds that elbow out reliable, affordable American natural gas and coal and raise electricity prices for consumers. Average electricity prices in the United States increased 7 percent from 2009 to 2017 despite the relative cost of coal and natural gas having declined and little new generating capacity being built, except for wind and solar power that were mandated by certain states. Several states with major increases in wind and solar power saw electricity prices increase by 18 to 36 percent during that period. Clearly, the political and media hype that wind and solar power are cheaper forms of energy is not true, based upon the results and the fact that the bill lards subsidies across most aspects of the Green New Deal’s vision of how to redesign the U.S. energy system.
Yet, Senator Manchin claims the bill specifically brings down energy prices. The only way that could be the case is if battery storage is free for it is not factored into the price of wind and solar power that need it for backup. In fact, it is very, very expensive. And the Inflation Reduction Act’s incentives do not make it free to consumers so his constituents, West Virginians, will see higher energy prices, heavily subsidized by taxpayers.
With all the spending on incentives and state mandates for wind and solar power, they together produced just 12 percent of our electricity and 5 percent of our primary energy last year.
*This article was adapted from content originally published by the Institute for Energy Research.
Last week, the day before the latest GDP data release showed the US economy tipped into recession in the first half of 2022, Senators Joe Manchin and Chuck Schumer announced a deal on a legislative package to be passed through the budget reconciliation process. That process allows the Senate to pass certain types of legislation with a simple majority vote, meaning that Democrats alone can pass partisan priorities. This deal represents an about-face from Manchin, given that just a couple of weeks ago he had pronounced any reconciliation bill on hold until the July inflation statistics were released. No one knows what prompted Manchin to suddenly stop caring about inflation, but just because Manchin may be done with inflation doesn’t mean that inflation is done with him, or with the American economy.
The reconciliation deal is a collection of tax increases and subsidies for various special interests that will not reduce inflation, despite being titled the “Inflation Reduction Act.” Indeed, according to Manchin’s own preferred academic modelers at Wharton, the legislation will slightly increase inflation over the next several years. That should be obvious, given that the legislation would spend several hundred billion new dollars of federal money, adding to the inflationary pressure driven by the 2021 spending binge. Manchin claims that the tax increases in the legislation will offset that inflationary pressure, but the legislation mainly increases corporate taxes and taxes on energy production. Does he think that corporations will not pass on those tax increases to consumers in the form of higher prices? Does he think increasing taxes on energy will not increase the cost of energy? The reconciliation deal is practically designed to increase inflation.
The timing of the announcement of the deal was quite on the nose as well. The following day, GDP figures for the second quarter were released showing a contraction of 0.9%, which combined with the first quarter decline of 1.6% shows the US economy in a recession. In the teeth of this recession, Manchin and his fellow Democrats are proposing a massive tax hike. If someone wrote this in a movie script no one would believe it. Joe Manchin’s “cure” for an economy in recession with the highest inflation in a generation is spending more and increasing taxes.
The energy taxes included in the package are especially foolish at a time when even the Biden White House, which has vowed to end oil and gas use, is begging for more domestic production in the face of high energy prices. The legislation would impose a new tax on methane, it would increase taxes on oil and gas production on federal lands, increases taxes on coal production, and reimposes a long-expired environmental tax on oil production. Every one of those tax increases will be passed on to consumers, and not just in the form of higher prices at the pump or costlier electricity bills. Everything in this country moved by trucks, running on more expensive diesel, will cost more. Groceries, clothing, appliances, and even Amazon deliveries — all more expensive.
So this legislation is not an “inflation reduction act,” it is a good old-fashioned tax-and-spend bill. The legislation is an inflation-increasing act. In good economic times, it would be a harmful policy. But in today’s uncertain economy, with simultaneous recession and inflation harking back to the worst of the 1970’s stagflation, this legislation is downright dangerous. Raising taxes on businesses when they have already been forced to increase prices because of inflation. Raising taxes on energy in the middle of a global energy crisis. Increasing government spending on top of the trillions of dollars in overspending already forced into an inflationary economy. It’s as if the legislation is designed to turn a struggling economy into a crashing economy.
The Joe Manchin of three weeks ago was right: inflation is a big problem, and new federal spending should be contingent on inflation easing. Maybe this week’s Joe Manchin should take his own advice. Increasing taxes on energy is perhaps the worst possible policy action that could be taken in this economic climate, not to mention the current global geopolitical situation with Russia’s ongoing war. But sure, this legislation includes subsidies for electric vehicles, which definitely will make up for rocketing inflation and economic collapse. Just trust Joe, not your lying eyes.
On this episode of The Unregulated Podcast, Tom Pyle and Mike McKenna discuss shifting definitions, Joe Manchin’s betrayal of West Virginia, and get into just how much damage the recent Senate bills could do to American families.
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