American Gas Could Save The World, If Biden Would Get Out Of The Way

Toby Rice, who runs the U.S. largest natural gas producing company, Pittsburgh-based EQT, indicated that the United States could easily replace Russian natural gas supply in Europe. He estimated the United States has the potential to quadruple its gas output by 2030. What is needed to accomplish that is more natural gas pipelines and LNG export facilities because U.S. LNG terminals are shipping close to all the gas they can and there are not enough pipelines to get the needed gas to export terminals. Unfortunately President Joe Biden’s Federal Energy Regulatory Commission regulators—an independent agency—voted that they must consider climate change in their approval process for natural gas pipelines and LNG facilities. Political opposition to building pipelines and export facilities for hydrocarbons is primarily preventing the U.S. natural gas industry from helping Europe end its reliance on Russian gas. The Biden administration needs to streamline the process for getting pipeline and LNG projects approved, rather than following its current course of finding ways to undermine the approval process.

Status of LNG Facilities

The United States is the world’s largest producer of natural gas and largest exporter of liquefied natural gas, shipping 100 cargoes of LNG a month, mostly to Europe. There are currently eight LNG terminals operating in the United States, with 14 more projects approved for construction, some of which are waiting on the political climate to see whether pipelines to move the gas to terminals will be allowed to be built. LNG facilities are expensive and complex, and few are willing to risk billions of dollars if the government is targeting their product. After a large number of decisions in 2019 to build new terminals, developers have approved just one project in the past two years. U.S. LNG developers have abundant gas and operating skills but have been hamstrung by U.S. regulatory uncertainty in expanding operations. The United States has enough natural gas to produce at its 2020 rate for nearly 100 years, according to the latest government estimates, but tapping the nation’s ample supply is constrained by lack of pipelines and export terminals, and the time it takes to build this infrastructure. Great strides were made between 2017 and 2020, which made today’s LNG shipments to Europe possible.

In January, U.S. exports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to Europe exceeded Russia’s pipeline deliveries for the first time. Of the five dozen or so U.S. LNG tankers on the water, more than two-thirds headed for Europe. U.S. producers increased the share of exported LNG to Europe from 37 percent of U.S. LNG volumes earlier in 2021 to nearly half in January 2022. Exports of LNG from the United States to EU-27 and the UK increased from 3.4 billion cubic feet per day in November 2021 to 6.5 billion cubic feet per day in January 2022. In February, about three-quarters of the tankers that departed U.S. ports were headed for European destinations with less than a quarter headed to Asia.

Russian exports, which normally account for about 30 percent of Europe’s natural gas use, dropped substantially because of Russian cutbacks and pricing. As a result, European natural gas prices are about four times as high as normal, inviting U.S. exports of LNG to fill the gap. European gas trades at around $26 per million British thermal units. The price of American gas is a little over $4, but the costs of liquefying, transporting and gasifying the LNG need to be added to the U.S. price. In February 24 trading, as Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine, gas prices surged to over $37 per million British thermal unit. In early March, LNG spot prices jumped to a record high near $60 per million British thermal units, but have since declined to around $51.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration projects U.S. LNG exports will reach 11.4 billion cubic feet per day in 2022, accounting for about 22 percent of expected world LNG demand of 53.3 billion cubic feet per day next year, outpacing both Australia and Qatar. Prices have risen so much in Europe that traders of LNG cargoes would rather pay millions of dollars in penalties for non-delivery to other countries for the opportunity to sell the cargoes at a premium to European buyers.

Source: Reuters

The 6.4 million metric tons of LNG exported from the United States in February (about 307 billion cubic feet of gas) would have been worth about $17.2 billion in Europe at $56 per million British thermal units or $13.5 billion in Asia at $44 per million British thermal units.

FERC to consider climate impacts for new projects

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, a federal agency that considers whether to approve or reject natural gas pipelines, will weigh a project’s contributions to climate change as part of its decisions. In determining whether a project is in the public interest, FERC voted to examine greenhouse gas emissions from the project’s construction and operations — as well as the emissions from when the gas is ultimately burned to make electricity. The new guidance will be applied immediately, though it was only issued on an interim basis. FERC is currently accepting public comments on it, and may make changes down the line based on the feedback. At issue is that the ruling hamstrings the objectives of the Natural Gas Act, which is to encourage the orderly development of natural gas infrastructure, because the guidance is vague. It does not add clarity to the certification process, but instead creates more questions, which ultimately give opponents of hydrocarbons opportunities for “lawfare,” the use of legal filings as part of the war on hydrocarbons.

Senator Joe Manchin, Chairman of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources committee, argued that FERC went “too far.” “The Commission went too far by prioritizing a political agenda over their main mission – ensuring our nation’s energy reliability and security. The only thing they accomplished today was constructing additional road blocks that further delay building out the energy infrastructure our country desperately needs.”

Under the interim policy approved by FERC, developers will be required to provide FERC detailed analysis of future emissions along with plans to offset those emissions, potentially by capturing carbon dioxide and storing it underground. Developers will face a tougher bar than they did in years past, potentially lengthening the timeline on what is already a long and costly process to get natural gas infrastructure projects approved and survive legal challenges from environmental groups. It also raises costs for U.S. projects, which may threaten the economics of their proposals. For developers, far more rigorous analysis will be required on climate impacts, considering not just a pipeline or LNG terminal’s emissions but any increase in natural gas consumption they might facilitate. For an LNG terminal that might ship out more than 15 million tons of LNG a year that would produce over 40 million metric tons of carbon dioxide, convincing FERC that such a project is in the public interest could be a tough sell.

Some states want to move LNG by rail, but President Biden’s proposed rule to the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA) would prohibit LNG from being transported by rail car in the United States. This Biden proposal will have devastating effects on the economy, American energy, and national security. The Biden administration’s attacks on the U.S. oil and gas industry leave no stone unturned.

Conclusion

The Biden administration needs to recognize the American oil and gas industry as a strategic asset in our arsenal. America is positioned to play this role because of its abundant natural gas and its lead in the technologies and innovations needed to develop and export it as LNG. Not long ago some experts thought America was running out of natural gas and facilities were built to import it. But the U.S. shale revolution and the development of modern hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling made America an energy powerhouse. Rather than import LNG, U.S. facilities were configured to export LNG instead. While LNG exports are a small portion of domestic natural-gas production, they are about 20 percent of the global LNG market. The United States is set to have the world’s largest LNG export capacity by the end of this year, which creates jobs and growth and affordable energy at home and provides U.S. allies a stable energy source.

The United States could do even more if the Biden administration did more to encourage LNG infrastructure and allow the free flow of LNG markets. The Biden administration should make clear that America is positioned to provide stability amid any disruption. The Department of Energy and Federal Energy Regulatory Commission must act on applications for LNG export facilities pending before them and also establish a clear timeline for approval. Germany is fast-tracking two LNG import facilities that would need LNG from the United States if Nord Stream 2 is to be contained in the wake of Russian aggression in Europe. President Biden needs to reassure our allies that the United States will be a reliable supplier of energy.

Rep. Ro Khanna Flip Flops After Seeing Poll Numbers

Rep. Ro Khanna, a Democrat from California, has been putting pressure on domestic oil companies to lower production for months. In October he was interrogating oil CEO’s about why they were increasing production as their ‘European Counterparts’ were lowering their own—seemingly a moral good in Rep. Khanna’s eyes.

Now that gas prices in his state are above the $6 mark, he is singing a different tune. We now hear him bemoaning the rising price ad nauseam. He’s responding to the tidal wave of public opinion that has shifted rapidly in the wake of the rising price of gasoline, and ignoring his own hypocrisy as he does so. 

There is no admission that his own policymaking contributed directly to the present problem, or acknowledgment of the full 180 he’s made on the issue. He’s simply begun calling for increased production as though that has been his position all along. I’ve put together a video highlighting the hypocrisy that Rep. Khanna has openly displayed on this issue.

Read more from the AEA team about what is causing higher prices at the pump.

The Unregulated Podcast #75: Irish Marauders

On this episode of The Unregulated Podcast Tom Pyle and Mike McKenna recap events in Ukraine from this week, Raskin’s nomination, and the White House’s response to high oil prices.

Links:

Biden Doubles Down On Anti-Energy Onslaught

Biden’s campaign promise: “No more subsidies for the fossil fuel industry. No more drilling including offshore. No ability for the oil industry to continue to drill period. It ends.”

That President Biden is now asking the U.S. oil industry to produce more is ironic after taking steps to do just the opposite. Further, he has little understanding of the workings of the industry when he stated: “U.S. producers “have 9,000 permits to drill now — they can be drilling right now, yesterday last week, last year. They have 9,000 to drill onshore that are already approved. So let me be clear, let me be clear: they are not using them for production now.”

What Biden is probably referring to are leases, not permits. A mineral lease is the exclusive rights to the mineral resources under a tract of land or seafloor that are awarded to the high bidders in competitive lease sales. Federal leases generally have 5 to 10 year primary terms, in which the winning lease holder pays rents to hold the lease. Once the lease holder receives permission to perform the appropriate exploratory tests and sets up the required infrastructure for drilling, the leaseholder applies for further permits to drill wells. Permits are good for two years, with the possibility of a two-year extension. Once the wells are producing, the leaseholder must pay royalties on the product(s) produced.

In the fall of 2020, with Biden leading in the polls, oil and gas companies filed for permits and permit renewals, mostly in New Mexico and Wyoming, where much of the drilling on federal lands takes place, realizing that the nation will still need oil and gas for many years into the future and aided by speedier permitting approvals under the Trump Administration. They were responding to fears that Biden’s pledges to have no “drilling, period” might prove true. Processing times for completed applications to the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) dropped from almost 140 days on average in the last year of Obama’s administration to 44 days in fiscal year 2019 under Trump. Companies submitted more than 3,000 drilling permit applications in a three-month period that included the election. Department of Interior officials approved almost 1,400 drilling applications, which is the highest number of approvals for that amount of time during Trump’s four-year term.

Source: Associated Press

However, while the Biden Administration continued to approve drilling permits, the rate of approval declined most likely due to an agency pivot toward Biden’s climate agenda and a continuation of his Administration’s war on the oil and gas industry. The drop was especially dramatic in August, according to BLM data. BLM issued 171 drilling permit applications in August—a 75 percent drop since April, when it approved 671 permits. The approvals remained more than 50 percent less than the April approvals for the rest of the calendar year as the graph below shows.

Source: BLM

The slowdown in approvals shows the Biden administration began curtailing oil and gas permitting in the summer to focus mainly on renewable energy development as COP26 was just a few months away. The data suggest the administration wants to show that it is meeting its obligation to issue permits for existing leases while avoiding further legal challenges so that it can turn toward implementing its climate agenda.

The following chart from BLM shows the increasing time to approve a permit in FY 2021 from FY 2020, with the average increasing by 30 days—from 59 to 89. Also note that almost 4 months of FY 2021 was when the Trump administration was processing the voluminous number of permit applications that were filed in the fall of 2020 as noted above.

Source: BLM

A further delay in permit approvals for oil and gas drilling can be expected. More recently, the Interior Department indicated that permits to drill for oil and gas on U.S. public land will be delayed due to a federal judge ruling against the Biden administration’s estimates of the social costs of greenhouse gas emissions. A Biden executive order in 2021 directed federal agencies to weigh environmental permitting and regulatory decisions by considering a metric for estimating the societal costs from carbon dioxide associated with those moves. A Louisiana-based federal district judge in February blocked federal agencies from using that “social cost of carbon” plan, following a lawsuit by Louisiana and other states challenging the way it was imposed. The social cost of carbon is a government creation that seeks to assess the costs and benefits of a project based upon its potential impact on carbon dioxide. The higher the number, the more government can justify its decision to oppose a fossil fuel project or action.

Because the court ruling bars the federal government from adopting or relying on the metric, in the short term, the Biden administration argues it disrupts current work on federal drilling permits as well as new regulations. For instance, according to the Interior Department, the injunction is expected to lead to delays in permitting and leasing for federal oil and gas programs. The Justice Department told the court that at least 27 environmental reviews at the Interior Department are affected. “The injunction has halted work” on applications for permits to drill on “at least 18 wells on federal oil and gas leases in New Mexico.” Some have suggested this is a convenient excuse to justify further implementation of President Biden’s promises of “no drilling, period.” The Biden administration is currently sitting on over 4,000 unprocessed permit applications.

Conclusion

Department of Interior data show that the Biden administration is continuing its war against U.S. oil and gas companies by delaying permit approvals despite the rhetoric of Joe Biden and Jen Psaki that the administration has done nothing to affect lower U.S. oil output. BLM is clearly approving fewer permits to drill and taking longer to process a permit. And, according to the Interior Department, the industry can expect further delays as a judge tossed out the administration’s social cost of carbon metric.


*This article was adapted from content originally published by the Institute for Energy Research.

A Windfall of Bad Ideas

With sky-high inflation reminding people of the economic malaise of the Carter years, it appears that some Members of Congress are actually looking back fondly on those times and are actively trying to relive those days. The latest bad idea that Congress is trying to revive is a new tax on oil profits modeled after the tax on oil profits President Carter signed in 1980. This was a bad idea in 1980 and it’s a bad idea today.

This new tax on oil appears to be predicated on two core beliefs: 

  1. U.S. oil producers have been producing too much oil and Congress should disincentivize future oil production. 
  2. The price of gasoline at the pump is too low.

Imposing A New Tax on the Domestic Production of Oil Will Lead to Lower Domestic Oil Production and Higher Prices at the Pump

While the Biden Administration is working to try to get more oil from other countries including Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Venezuela, they refuse to take meaningful steps to increase domestic oil production. This new oil tax bill will further harm domestic oil production.

The Congressional Research Service reports that President Carter’s crude oil profits tax reduced domestic oil production by up to 8 percent and increased dependence on foreign oil by up to 13 percent. This new bill is a bit different, but penalizing domestically-produced oil on the world market would lead to lower domestic oil production over time. 

There are a few problems with this approach.      

First, 77 percent of Americans would like to replace Russian oil imports with domestically-produced oil. By making domestically-produced oil more expensive, this would make it harder to replace Russian oil with additional domestic oil production.  

Second, the biggest reason that global oil prices moderated from 2010 through 2020 was because of new oil production in the United States.  The United States added far more to global oil production over the past decade than any other country.  In fact, 81 percent of the increase in global oil production from 2010 through 2019 came from the United States.

While this proposed oil tax would make gasoline prices higher in the short term, it will lead to lower domestic oil production in the long term.

The Bill’s Sponsors Apparently Think Gasoline Prices Are Too Low and Could Benefit from a 50-cent per Gallon Increase

Everyone knows that prices increase when the government increases taxes, even Senators Whitehouse and Warren (two sponsors of this bill). This new bill would impose a tax on oil produced in the United States and oil imported into the United States for larger producers and importers. The bill calculates the tax with a formula comparing oil prices over the past few years to current prices. Americans for Tax Reform used the Energy Information Administration’s estimates in the Short Term Energy Outlook to find that the tax could be about $22.50 per barrel of oil.  

This oil-price increase could lead to an increase of 50-cent per gallon at the pump. This is because, as the St. Louis Fed estimates, every “$10 rise in the price of a barrel of oil is correlated with an approximately 25-cent increase in the price of a gallon of gasoline…” 

At this point, it is not clear if this tax would lead to precisely a 50-cent per gallon increase in the price at the pump, but it’s a good starting point. The problem is that the price at the pump has already increased every month since President Biden took office. Not only that, but the price of oil increased by 87 percent from Inauguration day until Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24th.  

While President Biden is not to blame for the entirety of this price increase, he is to blame for being hostile to domestic oil production while encouraging despots and dictators to produce more oil. In fact, last year he and others in the White House tried to put pressure on OPEC + (in effect “OPEC +” is “OPEC + Russia”) to produce more oil. 

At a time when oil prices are at historic highs, this is not the time to further increase the price at the pump. Unless, of course, higher oil and gasoline prices are the end goal of your Green New Deal, which we all know is exactly the plan.

Conclusion

Taxing the profits of oil companies was a dim-witted idea when President Carter signed it in 1980. It is no less dim-witted today. This new oil tax could translate to a 50-cent per gallon “tax” on the price at the pump and it would penalize domestic oil producers when trying to sell oil on the global market.  

There is never a good time for higher energy taxes, but particularly not ones that exacerbate inflation and weaken our domestic energy security.

The Unregulated Podcast #74: Biden’s Blame Game

On this episode of The Unregulated Podcast Tom Pyle and Mike McKenna discuss Biden’s attempts at deflecting blame for run-away inflation and the future prospects of the so-called “energy-transition” movement.

Links:

Jen Psaki Doubles Down On Lies Against American Energy Producers

When asked by a news correspondent this month if President Biden intended to reverse course and reinstate pro-America energy policies, White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki responded that there are 9,000 approved oil leases that the oil companies are not tapping into currently. But, as American Petroleum Institute President and CEO Mike Sommers indicates, her statement amounts to factual distortion. “Just because you have a lease doesn’t mean there’s actually oil and gas in that lease, and there has to be a lot of development that occurs between the leasing and then ultimately permitting for that acreage to be productive,” Sommers said. In fact, the industry is using a higher percentage of federal onshore and offshore leases than at any time in the past, and it is continuing to increase production to meet surging demand.

The U.S. oil industry has both developed and undeveloped leases and it pays the government fees for renting them, regardless of whether oil and gas is eventually found and produced. It generally takes 7 to 10 years for oil companies to determine whether a lease will become productive and for them to invest in the infrastructure that is needed to produce the oil. With the Biden administration trying to push banks away from funding oil and gas projects and instead spend money on renewable energy, it is no wonder that the industry is hesitating to make the investment needed. Besides the need to obtain necessary capital to make the investment, the oil industry is faced with the uncertainty caused by Biden and his administration about imposing new taxes and regulations on the industry that were contained in the Build Back Better Bill. Further, the Department of Interior agreed with upping the royalty rates on the industry when they performed the review Biden requested when he placed the ban on new oil and drilling on public lands.

Because Biden touted his anti-oil and gas policies during his campaign for the Presidency, there was a flurry of lease purchases in 2020, despite record-breaking low – and even negative – oil prices resulting from the demand destruction due to the COVID lockdown. Those fears were justified as President Biden shut down leasing activities on his first day in office, and his leasing moratorium continues, despite a judge indicating that only Congress had the authority to approve not holding lease sales since Federal laws required the lease sales. Finally bowing to the law and conducting one lease sale in the Gulf of Mexico in the fall, another judge invalidated it on the grounds that the government had failed to take climate change into consideration. Biden’s administration has done nothing to contest that judgment, and in fact was appealing the original judge’s order the same week as the lease sale. To Biden and his administration, it is better to import oil from OPEC+ (the + is mainly Russia), Venezuela or Iran than to help the U.S. oil industry.

In the same press conference that Psaki misrepresented the 9000 leases, she falsely claimed Joe Biden was not funding the Russian war effort by continuing to import over 650,000 barrels of oil from Russia every day (about 8 percent of U.S. oil imports and 3 percent of oil consumption). At $120 a barrel that equates to $78 million a day from the United States to Russia alone. As the world’s third-largest oil producer providing more than 10 percent of global supply, Russia raked in $119 billion in resource revenues last year.

Due to pressure from Congress, Biden announced a ban on oil, liquefied natural gas and coal imports from Russia, signing an executive order to that effect on March 8. The day before, a bipartisan group of American lawmakers agreed to move ahead with legislation that would ban Russian energy imports in the United States and suspend normal trade relations with Russia and Belarus. Some European countries, which are highly dependent on Russian energy, have expressed a willingness to reduce their reliance on those imports, as well. Biden’s order blocks any new purchases of those energy products and winds down the deliveries of existing purchases that have already been contracted for. The White House said the action also bans new U.S. investment in Russia’s energy sector and prohibits Americans from participating in foreign investments that flow into that sector in Russia. China, which controls the minerals necessary for Biden’s “green energy transition,” immediately stepped into that space.

Gasoline prices have now surpassed their high in 2008, reaching an average of $4.17 a gallon. But, that is what Biden wants as his Secretary of Energy Granholm indicated—rising oil, natural gas and electricity prices benefit the transition to renewable fuels and Biden’s energy agenda.

Conclusion

The Biden administration and particularly Jen Psaki need to better understand the oil industry and energy markets so that they stop spouting misleading statements about oil leases and other industry-related subjects. The reason there are 9,000 undeveloped oil leases is because companies do not want to invest the massive amounts of money and manpower necessary to drill for oil when the Biden administration is constantly threatening to impose new or increasing taxes, fees and regulations on the industry, and “working like the devil” through all the financial institutions to cut off their funding and “bankrupt them.” With the ban on lease sales on federal lands, Biden has shown the U.S. oil industry through his actions that he does not want to do business with them. He would rather import oil from OPEC, Venezuela and Iran than to further develop the U.S. oil industry. His actions speak louder than his words.

Tom Pyle to Congress: Rising Prices A Feature of “Green” Policies, Not A Bug

Tuesday, March 8, AEA president Tom Pyle provided testimony before a hearing by The Subcommittee on Energy of the Committee on Energy and Commerce titled: Charging Forward: Securing American Manufacturing and Our EV Future.

Tom’s full written testimony is available here. A video of the hearing can be viewed below.

Wake Up Biden: Need to Change Your Anti-American Energy Policies

A survey conducted by Morning Consult found 90 percent of U.S. voters favor domestic energy development over foreign imports. In addition, more than 80 percent of respondents said they believed domestic oil and natural gas production would boost energy security for the United States and its allies, reduce energy costs, and help preserve U.S. leadership in times of uncertainty. Another survey conducted by the Pew Center found that 67 percent of Americans want a mix of fossil fuel and renewable energy resources. Americans generally do not want a complete break with fossil fuels and foresee unexpected problems in a major transition to renewable energy. That is despite 69 percent of Americans favoring the United States taking steps to become carbon neutral by 2050, a key component of President Joe Biden’s climate and energy policy. Economic concerns are forefront in the minds of Americans when asked about what a transition away from fossil fuels would mean for them.

Biden and his cohorts want to blame rising oil and gasoline prices on the Russian invasion of Ukraine. While some suppliers are no longer buying oil from Russia, reducing supply and causing the most recent increase in prices, it is Biden’s anti-oil and gas policies that have caused the initial shortage of oil supplies and the price increases last year when gasoline prices increased by $1 over the course of Biden’s first year in office. On his first days in office, he canceled the Keystone XL pipeline, which would provide oil from our Canadian neighbor—an oil grade that U.S. refineries need, and placed a ban on leasing oil and gas on federal lands while he determined how much to increase fees on oil and gas drilling. His administration has also banned oil production in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge and the Naval Petroleum Reserve—Alaska. He has placed restrictions on the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission that will probably kill their approval of most new natural gas pipelines and he has asked banks to not support future oil and gas projects. Markets look for signals, and all the signals coming from the Biden administration about increasing domestic production have been flashing red lights.

Biden now claims he is doing all he can to lower the rising gasoline and oil prices, but all he has done is beg OPEC+ (“+” stands for Russia) for more oil production and asked our allies to release oil from their strategic petroleum reserves. But the release of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserves is just a drop in the bucket of the oil that is needed and does nothing to increase supplies meaningfully, and is thus of little benefit to reducing prices. Now, his administration is looking to get oil from Venezuela—a country where sanctions have been applied for years and socialist government policies have destroyed oil producing capabilities. Biden’s actions result in energy being harder to produce and more challenging to discover. Therefore, gasoline and home heating prices are higher than they have been in quite some time. But Biden has not made the connection between his disastrous policies and the rise of energy prices. Instead, he asked the Federal Trade Commission to investigate whether or not energy companies are gouging their prices to squeeze more money out of consumers. But, that was before the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Now, he has another scapegoat on which to blame high and rising prices.

On Sunday, oil price surged to $139 a barrel with the market reacting to supply disruptions stemming from Russia’s ongoing invasion of Ukraine and the possibility of a ban on Russian oil and natural gas. West Texas Intermediate crude futures, the U.S. oil benchmark, at one point spiked to $130.50 Sunday evening—its highest level since July 2008. The U.S. and its allies are considering banning Russian oil and natural gas imports, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said in an interview with CNN’s “State of the Union” on Sunday. The U.S. average for a gallon of gas topped $4 on Sunday, according to AAA. The cost of oil accounts for more than 50 percent of the cost of gasoline. The last time gasoline prices were this high was in 2008 when gasoline rose to a record $4.11 a gallon, which equates to about $5.20 a barrel today adjusted for inflation. High gas prices are helping to feed inflation, which reached a 40-year high in January.

These prices are moving in the direction that President Biden and his administration apparently want. According to The Last Refuge:

“During a U.S. Department of Energy roundtable, on February 28, 2022, launching the Biden administration’s Better Climate Challenge initiative, Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm explained the core of the Biden energy policy. Underneath all the blocks to oil and gas development, is the larger objective to transition away from fossil fuels to Green New Deal climate change initiatives. $10/gal gasoline is a feature, it is part of the plan. Rising electricity rates and massive increases in home heating and cooling costs are part of the plan. The downstream impacts of inflation inside the entire U.S. economy are structural issues to be managed. The financial pain to the U.S. citizen is the biggest problem they need to manage. Within this ‘transition’ process, the administration needs something they can point to as a false justification. That’s where the Ukraine-Russia conflict serves their current interests. The Biden team need Americans to blame something or someone else, as they execute this policy. First it was COVID, now it’s Vladimir Putin. All of this is being done on purpose.”

Were it not for Biden’s plan to rid the United States of fossil fuels by escalating prices out of sight, the United States would be already producing more oil and finding more oil for development. The United States has 285 years of technically recoverable oil, and more oil would be found if oil companies were allowed to open new leases and explore for it. The United States would also be on its way to getting more oil from neighboring Canada if the Obama-Biden administration did not hold the Keystone XL pipeline hostage and the Biden-Harris administration did not cancel the permit for the pipeline to cross the U.S.-Canadian border. The permit for the Keystone XL pipeline was filed in 2008—plenty of time to have built it since it only took 3 to build the Trans Alaska Pipeline System, a larger and more challenging project.

Under the Trump administration, the United States became energy independent—a goal that U.S. governments wanted to reach for decades. The United States had become the world’s leading oil and natural gas producer, thanks to the American energy renaissance, and Americans were reaping its benefits from low gasoline prices, inexpensive natural gas home heating, and nearly flat electricity prices, even as the United States reduced its carbon dioxide emissions more than any other nation. But the Biden administration’s anti-oil and gas policies are making those realities go away as it transitions the U.S. economy to a net-zero carbon-based economy. The policies of the Biden administration and the Democrat-controlled Congress have increased energy prices and will continue to do so as more and more of these negative policies are implemented. Americans need to understand the dynamics involved with oil production and realize that Biden is not helping with his anti-oil and gas policies.


*This article was adapted from content originally published by the Institute for Energy Research.

Jen Psaki Wrong About Gas Prices, Oil Production, And Basically Everything Else

The Biden administration does not like U.S. energy production. That is the inescapable conclusion from their actions over the past year. Last summer they called on OPEC + (the most important part of the “plus” is Russia) to increase oil production. Recently, reports are that they are trying to get a deal with Iran that would put Iranian oil on the global market and that they met with Venezuela to possibly end sanctions on it and put Venezuelan oil on the global market. On Sunday, there was a new report of sending a delegation to Saudi Arabia to make nice with the Saudis to put more oil on the global market.

What the Biden administration has not done is meet with domestic oil and gas producers to try and work to increase domestic production, nor have they met with the Canadians to try to increase Canadian oil production and exports to the United States. Canada is our top importing partner and has enormous quantities of oil.

The White House is feeling the pressure of its anti-North American energy policy and on Sunday afternoon, Jen Psaki, the White House Press Secretary again took to Twitter to try to argue that U.S. domestic oil production does not really matter.

Ms. Psaki begins:

She continues:

It is certainly true that oil and natural gas production is increasing. As we will explain below, that is not because of the federal government, but in spite of it. It is also true that oil is a globally-traded commodity and that the impacts of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will increase oil and gas prices globally.

We will also note that the position of the United States as a net exporter of petroleum and petroleum products would have been considered a fantasy by the experts when Ms. Psaki worked for President Obama. While running for re-election, President Obama said that “we can’t drill our way to lower gas prices” and that if we are going to avoid high gas prices every few years, we will need an all-of-the-above strategy. But President Obama was completely wrong. Between 2012, when he made these claims on the campaign trail and 2019, U.S. domestic oil production doubled and average gasoline prices fell by 27 percent from $3.680 a gallon in 2012 to $2.691 a gallon in 2019.

Back to Ms. Psaki:

Contrary to Ms. Psaki’s claims, oil and gas companies have faced tremendous pressure in recent years to, as the Wall Street Journal put it “shore up balance sheets rather than to boost production.” The WSJ explained:

The restraint demanded by investors stands in contrast to previous periods of breakneck growth in U.S. production. It raises the prospect that the nation’s output—which has been largely flat this year—may not rise to offset a recovery in demand as major economies roll back coronavirus restrictions.

Companies are refraining from deploying money to raise output, which in turn is tightening the balance between supply and demand, said Lex Maultsby, a managing director for leveraged finance at Bank of America. “Most of the debt financings are principally extending debt maturities and not being used to fund…production growth.”

Also, as David Blackmon, Senior Contributor at Forbes explained just last month, “Also limiting any response is the reality that many big producers remain intimidated by no-growth pressure from the ESG investor groups like BlackRock.” To understand this, Ms. Psaki should ask fellow high-ranking White House staffer Brian Deese, the current Director of the National Economic Council and former Global Head of Sustainable Investing at BlackRock.

There certainly has been a shortage of capital to drill more wells, but with the price of oil skyrocketing that may change somewhat.

Back to Ms. Psaki:

There are important reasons why the vast majority of domestic oil production occurs on non-federal lands (private and state lands). In 2009, at the start of the Obama administration (the Obama administration was as anti-oil and gas production as the Biden administration) production on federal lands totaled 35.7 percent of total domestic oil production. However, at the end of the Obama administration in 2016, federal lands only contributed 23.7 percent of total domestic oil production.

The reality is that federal lands vastly underperform on oil and gas production versus state and private lands because the federal government owns the majority of the mineral estate. The federal mineral estate contains 2.46 billion acres, made up of 1.76 billion acres in the Outer Continental Shelf and 700 million onshore lands. The state and private land mineral estate is around 1.5 billion acres by comparison. Yet the vast majority of our oil and natural gas comes from private and state lands.

Back to Psaki:

Because oil and natural gas are a globally-traded commodities, the United States is not completely “insulated” from price volatility, but over the past decade, U.S. oil production has had a significant moderating influence on global oil prices. From 2010 through 2019, global total petroleum (and other liquids) production increased by 12.1 million barrels a day. For the same time period, U.S. total petroleum (and other liquids) production increased by 9.77 million barrels a day.  In other words, 81 percent of the increase in global oil production over the past 10 years came from the United States. For comparison, Russia’s total production in 2021 was 10.52 million barrels per day.

This dramatic increase in production has created far more energy security in the United States than in places such as Germany and the rest of the EU.

Germany’s energy policies are the policies the Biden administration would like to emulate. Talking about energy policy, Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm stated at the Berlin Energy Transition Dialogue that “We are playing catch up with Germany! Although the U.S. may make different choices in how we approach our own energy transition, you and other EU parties have already made some incredible progress.”

Natural gas prices are currently over 10 times higher in Europe than the United States. Electricity and natural gas rates are expected to climb by 50 percent this year in Europe and electricity prices were already far higher in Europe than in the United States. Electricity rates in Germany are about 39 U.S. cents per kWh, in Denmark about 34 U.S. cents per kWh, and in the U.K. about 27 U.S. cents per kWh.  Compare that to less than 13 U.S. cents per kWh in the United States.

Where do people have greater energy security? In the United States where we have dramatically increased oil and natural gas production or in Europe with declining oil and natural gas production?

Lastly, Psaki argues that “the President is so focused on deploying clean energy technologies that don’t require fossil fuels bought and sold on the global market, which will always be vulnerable to bad actors.” Again, Psaki is completely mistaken.

The production and processing of that are necessary for these “clean energy technologies” are far more geographically concentrated than oil and natural gas production as the International Energy Agency illustrated with this chart last year:

Source: The International Energy Agency

In terms of processing the minerals necessary for things such as batteries and electric vehicles, China far surpasses other countries.  China dominates the rest of the world in copper, lithium, nickel, cobalt, and rare earth processing.

Source: The International Energy Agency

The United States could, of course, mine and process many of those materials. But mines typically take a decade or more to permit, and an honest assessment of the situation makes it apparent that the Biden administration has no interest in permitting new mines having recently rejected the Twin Metals mine in Minnesota and been sturdy opponents of other mines, including Pebble, Rosemont, and others. The Biden administration is unlikely to approve mines at all, and certainly not anywhere near the number that we would need to reduce our dependence on China.

Conclusion:

Press Secretary Jen Psaki did as good a job as she could do to spin the Biden administration’s anti-energy agenda. The reality is that the United States has greater energy security today because of dramatically higher domestic oil and natural gas production and not because of European-style subsidies and mandates for renewable energy that led to their energy weakness currently being exploited by Russia. Now only that, but the European-style energy policies the administration wants to pursue would make the United States far more dependent on China than we have ever been on oil from OPEC.

It is a sad state of affairs when the White House continues to try to get more oil from Iran, Venezuela, and Saudi Arabia on the market instead of working to get more oil produced here in the largest oil and natural gas producing country in the world, and blocks pipelines from our largest source of imports, our ally and friend Canada. She is, however, right about this: “it is time to move past the talking points and ground this discussion in facts.” We are happy to oblige.


*This article was adapted from content originally published by the Institute for Energy Research.